BCA COMMERCIAL PULSE: SEASONAL PRESSURES SEE VALUES FALL IN DECEMBER
BCA’s latest Pulse data shows average LCV values fell slightly in December, largely due to the combination of reduced demand in the run-up to the Christmas period and the shorter trading period. All three sectors experienced price pressure, although the drop in the part-exchange sector was negligible.
The December figure of £4,275 was down by just £28 on the November figure. However, sold volumes fell sharply compared to the previous month and performance against Guide Prices fell back by one and a half points to 98.5%.
Year-on-year, December 2011 was a substantial £208 ahead of the same month in 2010, equivalent to a 5.1% improvement. However this must be seen in the context of the heavy snowfall that severely restricted trading a year ago.
Duncan Ward BCA’s General Manager – Commercial Vehicles commented,
“December is often a weaker month for price performance due to the reduced demand and much shorter trading period. However, even taking this into account, prices remain strong when taking the longer view and average values over the last four months of 2011 comfortably outperformed the rest of the year. We also saw a lot of professional buyers stocking for the New Year and this helped keep values relatively firm – particularly for the best retail quality vehicles.”
Ward added “January typically sees the market take off with a bang and that has certainly been the case in 2012. BCA Blackbushe has already established a new volume sold record in the first trading week of the New Year and we have experienced similar strong demand at all commercial sales around the BCA network.”
Values in the fleet & lease LCV sector in December fell back to £4,998 from the £5,047 recorded the previous month, a drop of £49 equivalent to 1%. Year-on-year values were ahead by a significant £533 or 11.9%. Fleet vans averaged 99.54% of CAP in December, down one and a quarter points.
Part-exchange values also fell back in Decmebr, but only marginally from £2,726 to £2,717 – a decline of just £9. CAP comparisons declined from 99.7% to 96.36%, while year-on-year values were ahead by a significant £388 or 16.6%.
Nearly-new values fell sharply to £11,106 from the record level established in November. As always, this has to be taken in the context of the very low volumes reaching the market and the model mix factor. CAP performance fell nearly five points to 93.25%.
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